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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 6, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Leverkusen logo

Dortmund
2 - 5
B. Leverkusen

Frimpong (16' og.), Tigges (89')
Dahoud (26')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Akanji (11' og.), Wirtz (20'), Andrich (28'), Tah (53'), Diaby (87')
Bellarabi (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Bayer Leverkusen

The meetings between these two sides never seem to fail to deliver entertainment, with a remarkable tally of 40 goals being netted during the last eight encounters, and all the signs are pointing towards a high-scoring affair on Sunday. Both Dortmund and Leverkusen have been prolific in front of goal this season, whilst also leaving a leaky defence at the back as well, but we are predicting the hosts to just about edge a thriller thanks to their dominance over their opponents in recent years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 57.86%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 22.07% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.15%) and 3-1 (6.99%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawBayer Leverkusen
57.86%20.06%22.07%
Both teams to score 65.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.69%31.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.24%52.76%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.16%10.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.08%34.91%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.28%26.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.01%61.98%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 57.86%
    Bayer Leverkusen 22.07%
    Draw 20.06%
Borussia DortmundDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 7.15%
3-1 @ 6.99%
1-0 @ 6.43%
3-0 @ 5.3%
3-2 @ 4.61%
4-1 @ 3.89%
4-0 @ 2.94%
4-2 @ 2.56%
5-1 @ 1.73%
5-0 @ 1.31%
5-2 @ 1.14%
4-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 57.86%
1-1 @ 8.49%
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 2.9%
3-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 20.06%
1-2 @ 5.6%
0-1 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 2.74%
0-2 @ 2.52%
1-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 1.11%
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 22.07%

How you voted: Dortmund vs B. Leverkusen

Borussia Dortmund
71.1%
Draw
13.3%
Bayer Leverkusen
15.6%
90
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
B. Leverkusen
3-4
Dortmund
Wirtz (9'), Schick (45+1'), Diaby (55')
Wirtz (60'), Frimpong (70'), Odilon (75'), Diaby (86')
Braut Haaland (37', 77'), Brandt (49'), Guerreiro (71')
Meunier (20'), Braut Haaland (60'), Wolf (90+2')
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Dortmund
3-1
B. Leverkusen
Braut Haaland (5', 84'), Reus (51')
Bender (89' pen.)
Jan 19, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Dortmund
Diaby (14'), Wirtz (80')
Bailey (73'), Diaby (78')
Brandt (67')
Hummels (90+1'), Delaney (90+3')
Feb 8, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
B. Leverkusen
4-3
Dortmund
Volland (20', 43'), Bailey (81'), Bender (82')
Bender (35'), Volland (67')
Hummels (22'), Can (33'), Guerreiro (65')
Guerreiro (39')
Sep 14, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Dortmund
4-0
B. Leverkusen
Alcacer (28'), Reus (51', 90'), Guerreiro (83')

Wendell (35'), Havertz (52'), Amiri (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26224066184870
2Bayern MunichBayern26193478314760
3Stuttgart26182660312956
4Borussia DortmundDortmund26148453322150
5RB Leipzig26154760322849
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26101064235740
7Augsburg269894342135
8Hoffenheim2696114450-633
9Freiburg2696113648-1233
10Werder Bremen2686123541-630
11Heidenheim2678113544-929
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26610104650-428
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2684142542-1728
14Wolfsburg2667133144-1325
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum26510113054-2425
16Mainz 05Mainz26310132246-2419
17FC Koln2639142047-2718
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt2627172665-3913


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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