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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 68.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 14.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 3-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | VfL Bochum |
68.84% ( -0.14) | 17.09% ( 0.04) | 14.07% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 59.84% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.93% ( 0.02) | 31.07% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.53% ( 0.02) | 52.47% ( -0.02) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.79% ( -0.02) | 8.21% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.27% ( -0.06) | 28.72% ( 0.06) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.19% ( 0.14) | 34.8% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.46% ( 0.14) | 71.54% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | VfL Bochum |
2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.59% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.3% 6-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) 6-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 68.84% | 1-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.86% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 17.09% | 1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 14.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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