Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 11, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
VfL Bochum1 - 1Dortmund
We said: VfL Bochum 1-3 Borussia Dortmund
Although Bochum find themselves on a strong run of form, we are predicting a Dortmund win here largely due to the return of Haaland to the team in recent weeks. The striker not only scores a huge amount of goals, but he also leads the line and lifts the whole team around him, so as a result we think the visitors will come out on top on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 54.41%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 23.93% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 23.93% | 21.67% | 54.41% |
| Both teams to score 61.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
