MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 17:01:50| >> :60:545:545:
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde
VfL Bochum

Elversberg
0 - 1
VfL Bochum


Rochelt (55'), Tekerci (84'), Jacobsen (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Losilla (85')
Antwi-Adjej (29'), Gamboa (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Elversberg and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Elversberg 4-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, July 30 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal
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Last Game: Stuttgart 4-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Elversberg 2-3 VfL Bochum

Elversberg demonstrated in the win over Leverkusen that they are more than capable of competing against Bundesliga sides, and we think Tuesday's game will be a close-fought contest, but we expect Bochum to edge out their hosts to progress to the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.

Result
ElversbergDrawVfL Bochum
48.45% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09) 22.34% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 29.22% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 64.58% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.47% (0.090999999999994 0.09)35.54% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.42% (0.101 0.1)57.59% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Elversberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)15.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.64% (0.0020000000000024 0)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.06% (0.10899999999999 0.11)23.94% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.83% (0.152 0.15)58.17% (-0.147 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Elversberg 48.45%
    VfL Bochum 29.22%
    Draw 22.34%
ElversbergDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.83% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.16% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.97% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 0.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 48.45%
1-1 @ 9.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.6% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.61% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.98% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.34%
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.17% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.33% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.22%

How you voted: Elversberg vs VfL Bochum

Elversberg
32.3%
Draw
12.9%
VfL Bochum
54.8%
31
rhs 2.0
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