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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Heidenheim |
42.03% ( -0) | 25.01% ( 0.02) | 32.96% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.96% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.63% ( -0.07) | 46.37% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.35% ( -0.07) | 68.65% ( 0.07) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.97% ( -0.03) | 22.03% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.64% ( -0.05) | 55.36% ( 0.05) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.06% ( -0.04) | 26.94% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.73% ( -0.05) | 62.27% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Heidenheim |
1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 42.03% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 32.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 51 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 33 |
5 | Stuttgart | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 31 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 30 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 30 |
9 | Freiburg | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 34 | 2 | 29 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
12 | Augsburg | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 26 |
13 | St Pauli | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 44 | -27 | 10 |
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