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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heidenheim | Draw | Augsburg |
37.44% ( -0.1) | 24.34% ( 0.22) | 38.23% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 60.21% ( -0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.5% ( -1.05) | 42.5% ( 1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.1% ( -1.05) | 64.9% ( 1.05) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.4% ( -0.52) | 22.6% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.79% ( -0.78) | 56.21% ( 0.77) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.8% ( -0.52) | 22.2% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.39% ( -0.79) | 55.61% ( 0.79) |
Score Analysis |
Heidenheim | Draw | Augsburg |
2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 37.44% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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