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Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
Union Berlin logo

Borussia M'bach
1 - 0
Union Berlin

Cvancara (90+6')
Stoger (67'), Plea (69'), Plea (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Querfeld (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, September 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-0 Union Berlin

 Seoane will hope that Borussia Monchengladbach can make good on their underlying attacking metrics and pick up their second win of the season. Given Union Berlin's poor away record, the hosts could take advantage, but it would be surprising if they managed to score many considering they failed to create many chances last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Borussia Monchengladbach in this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawUnion Berlin
40.25% (0.035999999999994 0.04) 26.68% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 33.07% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.51% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.58% (0.082999999999998 0.08)53.42% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.05% (0.068999999999999 0.07)74.95% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.94% (0.060999999999993 0.06)26.06% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.89% (0.077999999999996 0.08)61.1% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66% (0.030000000000001 0.03)30.33% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.48% (0.036999999999999 0.04)66.52% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 40.25%
    Union Berlin 33.07%
    Draw 26.68%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 40.25%
1-1 @ 12.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.91% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 9.43% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 33.07%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Union Berlin

Borussia Monchengladbach
37.7%
Draw
30.2%
Union Berlin
32.1%
53
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
Borussia M'bach
0-0
Union Berlin
Lainer (46'), Reitz (89')
Vogt (44'), Khedira (48')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Union Berlin
3-1
Borussia M'bach
Volland (23' pen.), Hollerbach (50'), Kaufmann (75')
Juranovic (29')
Plea (77')
Scally (3'), Weigl (33'), Plea (47')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 29
Borussia M'bach
0-1
Union Berlin
Becker (60')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Union Berlin
2-1
Borussia M'bach
Behrens (79'), Doekhi (90+7')
Elvedi (33')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Borussia M'bach
1-2
Union Berlin
Kone (40')
Friedrich (28')
Kruse (18' pen., 84')
Promel (3'), Knoche (66')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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