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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 23.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
St Pauli | Draw | Heidenheim |
52.79% ( -0.29) | 23.63% ( 0.22) | 23.58% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 54.66% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.77% ( -0.9) | 46.23% ( 0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.48% ( -0.86) | 68.52% ( 0.86) |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.52% ( -0.44) | 17.48% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.04% ( -0.77) | 47.96% ( 0.77) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.24% ( -0.44) | 33.76% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.58% ( -0.48) | 70.42% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
St Pauli | Draw | Heidenheim |
1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.72% Total : 52.79% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.62% | 0-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 23.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Heidenheim | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
5 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Wolfsburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
11 | Hoffenheim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
14 | Stuttgart | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
15 | Augsburg | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
16 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | St Pauli | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
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