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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 23, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
Leverkusen logo

Borussia M'bach
2 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Elvedi (59'), Kleindienst (85')
Lainer (90+13')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Xhaka (12'), Wirtz (38', 90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Erzgebirge Aue 1-3 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, August 17 at 12pm in DFB-Pokal

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Stuttgart (4-3 pen.)
Saturday, August 17 at 7.30pm in DFL-Supercup

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen

 Although Leverkusen have not been in the strongest form since the end of 2023-24, they demonstrated that they still have what it takes to win when it matters most. Additionally, considering Borussia Monchengladbach's poor showing last term, it would be surprising if they managed to avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBayer Leverkusen
33.83% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12) 25.04% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 41.13% (0.163 0.16)
Both teams to score 57.13% (0.129 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.73% (0.182 0.18)46.26% (-0.185 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.44% (0.172 0.17)68.55% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.64% (0.013999999999996 0.01)26.36% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.5% (0.021000000000001 0.02)61.5% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.58% (0.16 0.16)22.42% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.06% (0.239 0.24)55.94% (-0.24 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 33.83%
    Bayer Leverkusen 41.13%
    Draw 25.04%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 7.88% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 33.83%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.91% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.61% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.39% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 41.13%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs B. Leverkusen

Borussia Monchengladbach
14.8%
Draw
12.3%
Bayer Leverkusen
72.8%
243
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
B. Leverkusen
0-0
Borussia M'bach
Xhaka (47'), Schick (66'), Stanisic (74')
Weigl (81')
> Preview
Aug 26, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Borussia M'bach
0-3
B. Leverkusen

Itakura (45+5'), Cvancara (45+3')
Okoh Boniface (18', 53'), Tah (45+6')
Okoh Boniface (16'), Frimpong (45+3'), Tah (45+4')
> Preview
May 21, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Borussia M'bach
Adli (15'), Demirbay (20')
Demirbay (45'), Palacios (77'), Amiri (81')
Hincapie (90+4')
Hofmann (58'), Stindl (90')
Kone (35'), Friedrich (47'), Stindl (70')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 16
Borussia M'bach
2-3
B. Leverkusen
Stindl (82', 90+3')
Bakker (21'), Adli (43'), Amiri (67')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
Borussia M'bach
1-2
B. Leverkusen
Elvedi (81')
Stindl (45+1'), Beyer (83')
Andrich (51'), Schick (74')
Tah (28'), Bakker (36'), Demirbay (90+4')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Heidenheim22006066
2Bayern MunichBayern22005236
3RB Leipzig22004226
4Borussia DortmundDortmund21102024
5Union BerlinUnion Berlin21102114
6Wolfsburg21014313
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach21014313
8Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen21015503
9Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt21013303
10Freiburg21013303
11Hoffenheim210145-13
12Mainz 05Mainz20204402
13Werder Bremen20202202
14Stuttgart201146-21
15Augsburg201126-41
16Holstein Kiel200225-30
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum200203-30
18St Pauli200203-30
> Bundesliga Full Table


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