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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | RB Leipzig |
27.2% ( -0.02) | 22.87% ( 0.04) | 49.93% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 60.99% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.44% ( -0.21) | 39.56% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.09% ( -0.21) | 61.91% ( 0.22) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.66% ( -0.12) | 27.34% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.2% ( -0.15) | 62.8% ( 0.16) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.94% ( -0.08) | 16.06% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.57% ( -0.15) | 45.43% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 6.75% 1-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 27.2% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.05% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.6% Total : 49.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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