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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
Leipzig logo

Borussia M'bach
0 - 1
RB Leipzig


Scally (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Werner (75')
Raum (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Young Boys 1-3 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, September 19 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-3 RB Leipzig

Considering the contrasting starts that both teams have made to the new season, Leipzig will be regarded as favourites to claim maximum points on Saturday. Monchengladbach have had plenty of success in their recent home meetings with Leipzig, but we believe that the in-form visitors will claim a comfortable victory at Borussia-Park this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawRB Leipzig
27.2% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 22.87% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 49.93% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.99% (-0.161 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.44% (-0.20500000000001 -0.21)39.56% (0.208 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.09% (-0.213 -0.21)61.91% (0.216 0.22)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66% (-0.119 -0.12)27.34% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.2% (-0.154 -0.15)62.8% (0.159 0.16)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.94% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)16.06% (0.086 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.57% (-0.151 -0.15)45.43% (0.155 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 27.2%
    RB Leipzig 49.93%
    Draw 22.87%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.75%
1-0 @ 5.69% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.69% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 27.2%
1-1 @ 10.41% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.39% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.87%
1-2 @ 9.52% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.055 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.34% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 3.76% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.05% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.72% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-5 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 49.93%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs RB Leipzig

Borussia Monchengladbach
24.6%
Draw
10.5%
RB Leipzig
64.9%
57
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
RB Leipzig
3-0
Borussia M'bach
Werner (58'), Forsberg (71' pen.), Gvardiol (80')
Sep 17, 2022 5.30pm
May 2, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
Borussia M'bach
3-1
RB Leipzig
Embolo (17'), Hofmann (45+2', 77')
Stindl (23'), Kone (88'), Neuhaus (90+1'), Hofmann (90+1')
Elvedi (64')
Nkunku (36')
Gvardiol (10'), Simakan (22')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
RB Leipzig
4-1
Borussia M'bach
Gvardiol (21'), Silva (33'), Nkunku (90+1'), Henrichs (90+4')
Orban (59'), Gvardiol (81'), Simakan (89')
Bensebaini (88')
Hutter (24'), Embolo (41'), Stindl (42')
Feb 27, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 23
RB Leipzig
3-2
Borussia M'bach
Nkunku (57'), Poulsen (66'), Sorloth (90+3')
Sabitzer (41'), Upamecano (43')
Hofmann (6' pen.), Thuram (19')
Elvedi (49'), Bensebaini (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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