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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
32.38% ( -4.9) | 23.43% ( 0.91) | 44.19% ( 3.99) |
Both teams to score 62.4% ( -4.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.84% ( -5.75) | 39.16% ( 5.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.51% ( -6.29) | 61.49% ( 6.29) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.18% ( -5.17) | 23.82% ( 5.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.01% ( -8.02) | 57.99% ( 8.02) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.91% ( -0.71) | 18.09% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.98% ( -1.23) | 49.02% ( 1.23) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.42) 1-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.74) 2-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.85) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.82) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.44) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.58) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.53) Other @ 2.92% Total : 32.38% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 1.05) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.52) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( 1.07) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.52) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.7) 0-1 @ 7.37% ( 1.7) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 1.34) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.39) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.69) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.21) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.27) Other @ 3.74% Total : 44.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
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