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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 20, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Leipzig logo

Bayern
1 - 3
RB Leipzig

Gnabry (25')
Pavard (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Laimer (64'), Nkunku (76' pen.), Szoboszlai (86' pen.)
Gvardiol (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 RB Leipzig

All but ending the closest Bundesliga title race in 13 years, Bayern are set to sweep aside Leipzig; leaving the pressure piled on Dortmund. At their fluent best against Schalke, the champions may be stepping up in class this week, but such are their attacking riches they can tame the Red Bulls once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 16.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
66.88% (-0.304 -0.3) 16.77% (0.124 0.12) 16.34% (0.178 0.18)
Both teams to score 67.5% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.72% (-0.27499999999999 -0.27)24.28% (0.273 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.03% (-0.362 -0.36)43.96% (0.361 0.36)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.13% (-0.12700000000001 -0.13)6.87% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.73% (-0.337 -0.34)25.26% (0.335 0.34)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)27.52% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)63.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 66.88%
    RB Leipzig 16.34%
    Draw 16.77%
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.81% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.78% (0.031999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.23% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 5.06% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 5.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.05% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 3.37% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.8% (-0.045 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.81% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
6-0 @ 0.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 66.88%
1-1 @ 6.53% (0.075 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.89% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 16.77%
1-2 @ 4.21% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-1 @ 2.44% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.57% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 16.34%

How you voted: Bayern vs RB Leipzig

Bayern Munich
71.7%
Draw
17.4%
RB Leipzig
10.9%
92
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2023 7.30pm
gameweek 16
RB Leipzig
1-1
Bayern
Halstenberg (52')
Schlager (41'), Laimer (71'), Rose (84')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (37')
Musiala (35'), Goretzka (52'), Upamecano (66')
Jul 30, 2022 7.30pm
Final
RB Leipzig
3-5
Bayern
Halstenberg (59'), Nkunku (77' pen.), Olmo (89')
Simakan (36'), Klostermann (90+2')
Musiala (14'), Mane (31'), Pavard (45'), Gnabry (66'), Sane (90+8')
Kimmich (64'), Hernandez (73'), Pavard (76'), Sane (87'), Neuer (90+7')
Feb 5, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 21
Bayern
3-2
RB Leipzig
Muller (12'), Lewandowski (44'), Gvardiol (58' og.)
Hernandez (22')
Silva (27'), Nkunku (53')
Laimer (45+1'), Nkunku (63'), Henrichs (74')
Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 4
RB Leipzig
1-4
Bayern
Laimer (58')
Lewandowski (12' pen.), Musiala (47'), Sane (54'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (90+2')
Apr 3, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 27
RB Leipzig
0-1
Bayern

Mukiele (26'), Sabitzer (37'), Upamecano (61')
Goretzka (38')
Kimmich (33'), Hernandez (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Stuttgart33224774393570
3Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Freiburg33119134456-1242
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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