Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 13.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Schalke 04 |
67.99% ( -0.08) | 18.11% ( 0.02) | 13.9% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 55.32% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.45% ( 0.1) | 36.55% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.3% ( 0.11) | 58.7% ( -0.11) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.16% ( 0.01) | 9.84% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.35% ( 0.02) | 32.64% ( -0.01) |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.35% ( 0.17) | 38.65% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.61% ( 0.16) | 75.39% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Schalke 04 |
2-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.36% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.02% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.13% Total : 67.99% | 1-1 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.11% | 1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.61% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 13.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |