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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
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RB Leipzig
3 - 0
Augsburg

Simons (6'), Openda (11'), Raum (27')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-3 RB Leipzig
Sunday, September 3 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Augsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 4-1 Augsburg

 While RB Leipzig have scored 10 goals in three Bundesliga games this season, Augsburg have already conceded nine times, failing to taste victory along the way. With that in mind, we expect the Red Bulls to notch another high-scoring win on Saturday, extending Augsburg's winless run in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 15.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 3-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawAugsburg
67.12% (0.989 0.99) 17.74% (-0.29 -0.29) 15.13% (-0.702 -0.7)
Both teams to score 60.22% (-0.679 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.13% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)31.87% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.59% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)53.41% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.21% (0.199 0.2)8.78% (-0.2011 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.85% (0.48399999999999 0.48)30.15% (-0.486 -0.49)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.02% (-0.893 -0.89)33.97% (0.891 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.35% (-0.975 -0.97)70.65% (0.97199999999999 0.97)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 67.12%
    Augsburg 15.13%
    Draw 17.74%
RB LeipzigDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.83% (0.198 0.2)
3-1 @ 7.73% (0.059 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.26% (0.096 0.1)
3-0 @ 7.16% (0.225 0.23)
4-1 @ 4.7% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
4-0 @ 4.35% (0.176 0.18)
3-2 @ 4.17% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.54% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.29% (0.059 0.06)
5-0 @ 2.12% (0.104 0.1)
5-2 @ 1.23% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-1 @ 0.93% (0.032 0.03)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 67.12%
1-1 @ 7.84% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-0 @ 2.98% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17.74%
1-2 @ 4.23% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-1 @ 3.22% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.74% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 15.13%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Augsburg

RB Leipzig
90.9%
Draw
6.8%
Augsburg
2.3%
44
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317
> Bundesliga Full Table


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