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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
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RB Leipzig
3 - 0
Augsburg

Simons (6'), Openda (11'), Raum (27')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-3 RB Leipzig
Sunday, September 3 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Augsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 4-1 Augsburg

 While RB Leipzig have scored 10 goals in three Bundesliga games this season, Augsburg have already conceded nine times, failing to taste victory along the way. With that in mind, we expect the Red Bulls to notch another high-scoring win on Saturday, extending Augsburg's winless run in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 15.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 3-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawAugsburg
67.12% (0.989 0.99) 17.74% (-0.29 -0.29) 15.13% (-0.702 -0.7)
Both teams to score 60.22% (-0.679 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.13% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)31.87% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.59% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)53.41% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.21% (0.199 0.2)8.78% (-0.2011 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.85% (0.48399999999999 0.48)30.15% (-0.486 -0.49)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.02% (-0.893 -0.89)33.97% (0.891 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.35% (-0.975 -0.97)70.65% (0.97199999999999 0.97)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 67.12%
    Augsburg 15.13%
    Draw 17.74%
RB LeipzigDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.83% (0.198 0.2)
3-1 @ 7.73% (0.059 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.26% (0.096 0.1)
3-0 @ 7.16% (0.225 0.23)
4-1 @ 4.7% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
4-0 @ 4.35% (0.176 0.18)
3-2 @ 4.17% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.54% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.29% (0.059 0.06)
5-0 @ 2.12% (0.104 0.1)
5-2 @ 1.23% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-1 @ 0.93% (0.032 0.03)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 67.12%
1-1 @ 7.84% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-0 @ 2.98% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17.74%
1-2 @ 4.23% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-1 @ 3.22% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.74% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 15.13%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Augsburg

RB Leipzig
90.9%
Draw
6.8%
Augsburg
2.3%
44
Head to Head
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RB Leipzig
3-2
Augsburg
Kampl (10'), Werner (32', 35')
Maier (5'), Vargas (82')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Augsburg
3-3
RB Leipzig
Berisha (34' pen.), Demirovic (51'), Vargas (64')
Silva (73'), Nkunku (89'), Novoa (90')
> Preview
May 8, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
RB Leipzig
4-0
Augsburg
Silva (40'), Nkunku (48', 57'), Forsberg (64' pen.)
Forsberg (36')

Gouweleeuw (72'), Gunther (77')
> Preview
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Augsburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
Caligiuri (86' pen.)
Dorsch (44'), Sarenren Bazee (87')
Silva (19')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
RB Leipzig
2-1
Augsburg
Olmo (38' pen.), Nkunku (43')
Klostermann (41'), Orban (62'), Adams (72')
Caligiuri (77' pen.)
Oxford (3'), Gouweleeuw (22'), Suchy (28'), Gikiewicz (34'), Benes (63')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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