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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
24.43% ( -0.04) | 22.35% ( 0.06) | 53.22% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 59.99% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.36% ( -0.34) | 39.64% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.01% ( -0.35) | 61.99% ( 0.35) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.54% ( -0.22) | 29.46% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.53% ( -0.27) | 65.47% ( 0.27) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.04% ( -0.13) | 14.96% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.63% ( -0.24) | 43.37% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 6.25% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 24.43% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.35% | 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 6.16% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.39% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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