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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Apr 8, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Leipzig logo

Hertha Berlin
0 - 1
RB Leipzig


Lukebakio (31'), Uremovic (45'), Boateng (45+3'), Kanga (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Haidara (39')
Szoboszlai (20'), Haidara (45+3'), Simakan (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hertha Berlin 1-2 RB Leipzig

Despite facing the threat of relegation, Hertha are certainly not a bad side under Schwarz whatsoever, and they can consider themselves slightly unfortunate to be as low in the table as they are based on their performances this season. Their misfortune could continue on Saturday, with Leipzig appearing to put their recent poor league form behind them after comfortably dispatching Dortmund in midweek. We can envisage a narrow away win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 18.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 0-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
18.89% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03) 20.73% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02) 60.37% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 57.4% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.72% (0.034999999999997 0.03)39.27% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.39% (0.034999999999997 0.03)61.61% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.7% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)34.3% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)71% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.37% (0.025000000000006 0.03)12.63% (-0.025 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.24% (0.052 0.05)38.76% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 18.89%
    RB Leipzig 60.37%
    Draw 20.73%
Hertha BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
3-1 @ 1.83% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 18.89%
1-1 @ 9.59% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.73%
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-2 @ 9.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.84% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.66% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 3.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.31% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.89% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-5 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
0-5 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 60.37%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs RB Leipzig

Hertha Berlin
19.1%
Draw
10.6%
RB Leipzig
70.2%
47
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 5.30pm
RB Leipzig
3-2
Hertha Berlin
Forsberg (25'), Diallo (30'), Orban (45')
Lukebakio (62' pen.), Jovetic (64')
Kempf (32')
Feb 20, 2022 6.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-6
RB Leipzig
Jovetic (48')
Richter (25'), Ascacibar (84')
Kempf (62')
Henrichs (20'), Nkunku (64' pen., 67'), Olmo (74'), Haidara (81'), Poulsen (88')
Gvardiol (34'), Tedesco (45'), Nkunku (64'), Haidara (84')
Sep 25, 2021 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
6-0
Hertha Berlin
Nkunku (16', 70'), Poulsen (23'), Mukiele (45+3'), Forsberg (60' pen.), Haidara (77')
Mukiele (62')

Darida (25'), Stark (59'), Plattenhardt (85')
Feb 21, 2021 2.30pm
Oct 24, 2020 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-1
Hertha Berlin
Upamecano (11'), Sabitzer (77' pen.)
Upamecano (48')
Cordoba (8')
Tousart (17'), Zeefuik (47'), Labbadia (90+1'), Ngankam (90+2')
Zeefuik (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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