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VfL Bochum
Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 18, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
 
Leipzig logo

VfL Bochum
1 - 0
RB Leipzig

Masovic (48')
Masovic (13'), Soares (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Laimer (11'), Olmo (75'), Kampl (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 7-0 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, March 14 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: VfL Bochum 0-2 RB Leipzig

Bochum seem to have lost their air of invincibility on home territory in recent weeks with two successive 2-0 defeats at Vonovia-Ruhrstadion, and we can envisage a repeat scoreline on Saturday. Leipzig will be determined to bounce back from their thrashing in Europe in midweek to ensure that their top four hopes remain in their own hands heading into the final stretch of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 19.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.6%) and 0-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 2-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
VfL BochumDrawRB Leipzig
19.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 20.08% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 60.81% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.23% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.23% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)35.77% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.16% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)57.85% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)32% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.54% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)68.46% (0.027999999999992 0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)11.43% (0.019 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.78% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)36.22% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 19.11%
    RB Leipzig 60.81%
    Draw 20.08%
VfL BochumDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 4.17% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 1.96%
3-0 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 19.11%
1-1 @ 9.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.66% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 20.08%
1-2 @ 9.8% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 8.6% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.93% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 6.22%
2-3 @ 4.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-4 @ 3.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 3.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 2.19% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.67% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
2-5 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 60.81%

How you voted: VfL Bochum vs RB Leipzig

VfL Bochum
12.7%
Draw
8.9%
RB Leipzig
78.5%
79
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
4-0
VfL Bochum
Werner (15', 53'), Nkunku (23' pen., 85')

Soares (19')
Feb 27, 2022 2.30pm
Oct 2, 2021 5.30pm
Feb 3, 2021 5.30pm
Third Round
RB Leipzig
4-0
VfL Bochum
Haidara (11'), Sabitzer (45+1' pen.), Poulsen (66', 75')
Angelino (60'), Hee-chan (88')

Masovic (24'), Drewes (45+1'), Soares (63'), Raman Chibsah (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern129303782930
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1282231161526
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen126512819923
4RB Leipzig126331914521
5Borussia DortmundDortmund126242319420
6Freiburg126241616020
7Mainz 05Mainz125432014619
8Wolfsburg125342519618
9Stuttgart124532321217
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach125251817117
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin124441011-116
12Werder Bremen124441924-516
13Augsburg124351423-915
14Hoffenheim123361724-712
15St Pauli123271015-511
16Heidenheim123181524-910
17Holstein Kiel121291331-185
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1202101033-232


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