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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 23, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Schalke

Freiburg
4 - 0
Schalke

Gregoritsch (7', 35'), Holer (52'), Ginter (82')
Keitel (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Uronen (45+1'), Latza (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Schalke 5-2 Hertha Berlin
Friday, April 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-0 Schalke 04

Having won eight of their 14 home league games this season – conceding just 12 goals along the way – Freiburg look set to strengthen their top-four bid with a comfortable victory over Schalke 04, who are on course to suffer yet another defeat on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawSchalke 04
43.18% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 24.43% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 32.38% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.77% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.08% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)43.92% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.69% (-0.055 -0.05)66.31% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.53% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)20.46% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.07% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)52.93% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.89% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)26.11% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.83% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)61.17% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 43.18%
    Schalke 04 32.38%
    Draw 24.43%
FreiburgDrawSchalke 04
2-1 @ 9.03%
1-0 @ 8.48% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 43.18%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 7.18% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 32.38%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Schalke

Freiburg
84.3%
Draw
9.8%
Schalke 04
5.9%
51
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 4.30pm
gameweek 12
Schalke
0-2
Freiburg

Polter (18')
Grifo (45+1', 61')
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 29
Freiburg
4-0
Schalke
Holer (7'), Sallai (22' pen.), Gunter (50', 74')
Santamaria (9'), Heintz (29')

Huntelaar (21')
Dec 16, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 12
Schalke
0-2
Freiburg

Raman (19'), Serdar (83')
Sallai (50', 68')
Santamaria (36')
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 21, 2019 2.30pm
gameweek 17
Schalke
2-2
Freiburg
Serdar (26'), Kutucu (80')
Kenny (61')
Petersen (54' pen.), Grifo (67' pen.)
Hofler (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
RFC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


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