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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 23, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Schalke

Freiburg
4 - 0
Schalke

Gregoritsch (7', 35'), Holer (52'), Ginter (82')
Keitel (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Uronen (45+1'), Latza (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Schalke 5-2 Hertha Berlin
Friday, April 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-0 Schalke 04

Having won eight of their 14 home league games this season – conceding just 12 goals along the way – Freiburg look set to strengthen their top-four bid with a comfortable victory over Schalke 04, who are on course to suffer yet another defeat on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawSchalke 04
43.18% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 24.43% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 32.38% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.77% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.08% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)43.92% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.69% (-0.055 -0.05)66.31% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.53% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)20.46% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.07% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)52.93% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.89% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)26.11% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.83% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)61.17% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 43.18%
    Schalke 04 32.38%
    Draw 24.43%
FreiburgDrawSchalke 04
2-1 @ 9.03%
1-0 @ 8.48% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 43.18%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 7.18% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 32.38%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Schalke

Freiburg
84.3%
Draw
9.8%
Schalke 04
5.9%
51
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 4.30pm
gameweek 12
Schalke
0-2
Freiburg

Polter (18')
Grifo (45+1', 61')
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 29
Freiburg
4-0
Schalke
Holer (7'), Sallai (22' pen.), Gunter (50', 74')
Santamaria (9'), Heintz (29')

Huntelaar (21')
Dec 16, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 12
Schalke
0-2
Freiburg

Raman (19'), Serdar (83')
Sallai (50', 68')
Santamaria (36')
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 21, 2019 2.30pm
gameweek 17
Schalke
2-2
Freiburg
Serdar (26'), Kutucu (80')
Kenny (61')
Petersen (54' pen.), Grifo (67' pen.)
Hofler (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246


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