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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 37.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
37.55% ( 1.18) | 24.17% ( -0.11) | 38.27% ( -1.07) |
Both teams to score 60.82% ( 0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.29% ( 0.59) | 41.71% ( -0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.89% ( 0.59) | 64.11% ( -0.59) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.81% ( 0.88) | 22.19% ( -0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.4% ( 1.3) | 55.6% ( -1.3) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.17% ( -0.26) | 21.83% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.95% ( -0.4) | 55.05% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.56% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 35 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 25 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
10 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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