MX23RW : Saturday, February 1 18:53:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 23, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
BayArena
Leipzig logo

B. Leverkusen
2 - 0
RB Leipzig

Hlozek (40'), Amiri (86' pen.)
Hincapie (70'), Alonso (84'), Amiri (87'), Andrich (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Szoboszlai (67'), Simakan (70'), Haidara (71'), Laimer (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-2 Augsburg
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 RB Leipzig

We expect Bayer Leverkusen to extend their unbeaten run to 13 matches in all competitions with a hard-fought victory over RB Leipzig, who look set to suffer a third defeat in four Bundesliga away games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 37.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawRB Leipzig
37.55% (1.175 1.18) 24.17% (-0.107 -0.11) 38.27% (-1.065 -1.07)
Both teams to score 60.82% (0.479 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.29% (0.592 0.59)41.71% (-0.587 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.89% (0.594 0.59)64.11% (-0.59 -0.59)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (0.876 0.88)22.19% (-0.873 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (1.303 1.3)55.6% (-1.3 -1.3)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.17% (-0.264 -0.26)21.83% (0.268 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.95% (-0.403 -0.4)55.05% (0.408 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 37.56%
    RB Leipzig 38.27%
    Draw 24.16%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.146 0.15)
1-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.49% (0.139 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.19% (0.178 0.18)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.111 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.76% (0.139 0.14)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.106 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.072 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 37.56%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.36% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-1 @ 7.37% (-0.258 -0.26)
0-2 @ 5.61% (-0.243 -0.24)
1-3 @ 4.29% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 38.27%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig

Bayer Leverkusen
67.9%
Draw
14.1%
RB Leipzig
17.9%
78
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 12
RB Leipzig
2-0
B. Leverkusen
Nkunku (32'), Werner (83')

Tapsoba (26')
Apr 17, 2022 6.30pm
Nov 28, 2021 4.30pm
gameweek 13
RB Leipzig
1-3
B. Leverkusen
Silva (62')
Forsberg (38')
Wirtz (21'), Diaby (34'), Frimpong (64')
Andrich (14'), Hradecky (82'), Frimpong (90+3')
Jan 30, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 19
RB Leipzig
1-0
B. Leverkusen
Nkunku (51')
Kluivert (90'), Haidara (90+2')

Bellarabi (60'), Bailey (75')
Sep 26, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 2
B. Leverkusen
1-1
RB Leipzig
Demirbay (20')
Demirbay (19')
Forsberg (14')
Klostermann (45'), Haidara (65'), Adams (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern20163162194351
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart209563730732
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz209473324931
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach209383230230
8Werder Bremen208663436-230
9Freiburg209382736-930
10Borussia DortmundDortmund208573634229
11Wolfsburg198474234828
12Augsburg207582435-1126
13St Pauli2063111822-421
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim2042142542-1714
17Holstein Kiel2033143152-2112
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum2024141744-2710


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