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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Mainz logo

RB Leipzig
0 - 3
Mainz


Kampl (37'), Olmo (65'), Orban (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ingvartsen (9'), Ajorque (57'), Kohr (67')
Caci (61'), Ingvartsen (64'), Hanche-Olsen (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Freiburg
Sunday, March 19 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Mainz 05

 Leipzig have been extremely consistent at the Red Bull Arena during Rose's tenure, and we expect them to deliver another home victory to potentially move into the top four on Saturday. However, Mainz have proven tough to beat throughout the majority of Svensson's two-year reign, and this weekend's meeting with Die Roten Bullen should prove no different even if they may fall short in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 17.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawMainz 05
61.87% (-0.186 -0.19) 20.4% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 17.72% (0.107 0.11)
Both teams to score 56.29% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.34% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)39.66% (0.175 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.99% (-0.183 -0.18)62.01% (0.184 0.18)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.68% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)12.32% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.88% (-0.222 -0.22)38.12% (0.221 0.22)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.2% (0.013999999999996 0.01)35.8% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.42% (0.015999999999998 0.02)72.57% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 61.87%
    Mainz 05 17.72%
    Draw 20.4%
RB LeipzigDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.67%
1-0 @ 9.24% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.93% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.75% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.63% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.53% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.86% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.52% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 61.87%
1-1 @ 9.49% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.4%
1-2 @ 4.87% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.53% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.33% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 17.72%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Mainz

RB Leipzig
86.7%
Draw
10.0%
Mainz 05
3.3%
60
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 2.30pm
Mainz
1-1
RB Leipzig
Ingvartsen (45')
Nkunku (80')
Forsberg (63')
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
4-1
Mainz
Silva (21' pen., 61'), Szoboszlai (47'), Nkunku (58')
Jae-sung (57')
Jae-sung (16'), Bell (59')
Hack (19')
Aug 15, 2021 2.30pm
Mainz
1-0
RB Leipzig
Niakhate (13')
Nebel (48'), Svensson (85')

Kampl (7'), Sabitzer (80')
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
Mainz
3-2
RB Leipzig
Niakhate (24', 35'), Barreiro (50')
Niakhate (40'), da Costa (75')
Adams (15'), Halstenberg (30')
Halstenberg (23'), Adams (70'), Orban (88'), Sorloth (90+2')
> Preview
Sep 20, 2020 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
3-1
Mainz
Forsberg (17' pen.), Poulsen (21'), Haidara (51')
Poulsen (64')
Mateta (48')
Mateta (30'), Latza (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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