Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 14, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Campo La Quinta
Hoffenheim1 - 4B. Leverkusen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Hoffenheim 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen
Though Hoffenheim have a strong home record in recent Bundesliga matches, Leverkusen will be looking to bounce back after their historic unbeaten streak came to an end. It would not be surprising if Alonso's side emerged as comfortable victors, although given their recent defensive frailty, they are unlikely to keep a clean sheet. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.67%) and 0-1 (5.63%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
32.05% ( -1.16) | 21.82% ( -0.16) | 46.13% ( 1.32) |
| Both teams to score 68.35% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
