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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 9, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Freiburg logo

Hertha Berlin
2 - 2
Freiburg

Lukebakio (34' pen.), Serdar (61')
Rogel (43'), Kenny (49')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kyereh (22'), Schade (78')
Doan (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 1-1 Hoffenheim
Sunday, October 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 Nantes
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Hertha Berlin 1-1 Freiburg

No Gregoritsch will make this a difficult day for Freiburg and Hertha have been defensively resolute for the most part this season. They could spring a surprise, but a draw is a more likely result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawFreiburg
27.47% (0.325 0.32) 24.63% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 47.9% (-0.297 -0.3)
Both teams to score 55.19% (0.348 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.68% (0.34 0.34)47.32% (-0.34 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (0.316 0.32)69.54% (-0.315 -0.31)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83% (0.425 0.42)31.17% (-0.424 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49% (0.492 0.49)67.51% (-0.491 -0.49)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18% (0.012 0.01)19.82% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.11% (0.018999999999998 0.02)51.89% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 27.47%
    Freiburg 47.9%
    Draw 24.63%
Hertha BerlinDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 7.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.79% (0.065 0.07)
2-0 @ 4.2% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.64% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.63% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 27.47%
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 10% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.09% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-3 @ 5.09% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.37% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 1.77% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.2% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 47.9%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Freiburg

Hertha Berlin
Draw
Freiburg
Hertha Berlin
25.3%
Draw
11.6%
Freiburg
63.2%
95
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
3-0
Hertha Berlin
Grifo (12' pen.), Schade (83'), Holer (86')
Hofler (21')

Jovetic (24'), Andre Bjorkan (74')
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-2
Freiburg
Piatek (70')
Boateng (29'), Serdar (69'), Jastrzembski (90+4')
Lienhart (17'), Petersen (78')
May 6, 2021 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
3-0
Freiburg
Piatek (13'), Pekarik (22'), Radonjic (85')
Alderete (20'), Guendouzi (38'), Torunarigha (64'), Darida (69')

Hofler (36'), Demirovic (42'), Sallai (80')
Dec 20, 2020 2.30pm
Freiburg
4-1
Hertha Berlin
Grifo (7'), Demirovic (59'), Gulde (67'), Petersen (90+4' pen.)
Lukebakio (52')
Jun 16, 2020 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26195275245162
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26168259332656
3Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26136754401445
5RB Leipzig2611964133842
6Freiburg2612683638-242
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26124104340340
8Wolfsburg2610884940938
9Augsburg2610882935-638
10Stuttgart2610794743437
11Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
12Werder Bremen2696114053-1333
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2668123248-1626
15St Pauli2674152030-1025
16Heidenheim2654173152-2119
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2646162653-2718
18Holstein Kiel2645173864-2617


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