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Bundesliga
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 18, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
 
Leipzig logo

Wolfsburg
0 - 3
RB Leipzig


Bornauw (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Forsberg (14'), Laimer (85'), Szoboszlai (90+2')
Raum (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 0-0 Wolfsburg
Friday, February 10 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, February 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 RB Leipzig

 With both sides struggling for form in recent weeks, we can envisage a share of the spoils in Wolfsburg on Saturday. Although Leipzig undoubtedly possess more individual quality than their forthcoming opponents do, Kovac's side have become increasingly tough to beat, while they have the advantage of playing without European football this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 18.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.56%) and 0-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 2-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawRB Leipzig
18.18% (0.07 0.07) 19.45% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 62.37% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 60.76% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.71% (-0.133 -0.13)34.29% (0.131 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.81% (-0.15 -0.15)56.19% (0.147 0.15)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)32.05% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)68.52% (0.0049999999999955 0)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.42% (-0.071999999999989 -0.07)10.58% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.65% (-0.15700000000001 -0.16)34.35% (0.155 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 18.18%
    RB Leipzig 62.37%
    Draw 19.45%
WolfsburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 4.93% (0.017 0.02)
1-0 @ 3.86% (0.025 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.2% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.87% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 18.18%
1-1 @ 8.67% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.39% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 19.45%
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.56% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 7.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4.09% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.84% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 62.37%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig

Wolfsburg
23.8%
Draw
25.4%
RB Leipzig
50.8%
63
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-0
Wolfsburg
Nkunku (5' pen., 90')
Henrichs (8'), Laimer (47'), Werner (88')

Arnold (26'), Otavio (51'), Baku (53')
Jan 23, 2022 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-0
Wolfsburg
Orban (76'), Gvardiol (84')
Simakan (34'), Henrichs (37'), Kampl (67'), Olmo (73'), Adams (82')

Lacroix (59')
Aug 29, 2021 4.30pm
Wolfsburg
1-0
RB Leipzig
Roussillon (52')
Steffen (35'), Schlager (65'), Guilavogui (70'), Roussillon (89')

Gvardiol (26'), Adams (35')
May 16, 2021 7.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-2
Wolfsburg
Kluivert (51'), Sabitzer (78' pen.)
Henrichs (20'), Konate (36'), Sabitzer (45')
Philipp (12', 45+1')
Mbabu (52'), Arnold (60'), Baku (86')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
RB Leipzig
2-0
Wolfsburg
Poulsen (63'), Hee-chan (88')
Kampl (20'), Olmo (21'), Nkunku (25')

Otavio (5'), Lacroix (35')
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
RFC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617
> Bundesliga Full Table


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