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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.59%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.38%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
26.53% ( 0) | 19.88% ( 0) | 53.59% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 71.72% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.61% ( -0) | 25.39% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.58% ( -0.01) | 45.42% ( 0.01) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.72% ( 0) | 20.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.36% ( 0) | 52.64% ( 0) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.97% ( -0) | 10.03% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.91% ( -0.01) | 33.09% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 5.95% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.64% 1-0 @ 3.25% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.17% 2-0 @ 2.59% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.45% 3-0 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.73% Total : 26.53% | 1-1 @ 7.46% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.85% 3-3 @ 2.79% 0-0 @ 2.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 19.88% | 1-2 @ 8.58% 1-3 @ 6.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.38% 2-3 @ 5.25% 0-1 @ 4.68% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.12% 1-4 @ 3.78% ( -0) 2-4 @ 3.02% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.37% 1-5 @ 1.74% 3-4 @ 1.61% 2-5 @ 1.39% 0-5 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 4.02% Total : 53.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
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