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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.5%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 2-1 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
VfL Bochum | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
16.3% ( -3.58) | 16.73% ( -0.45) | 66.97% ( 4.03) |
Both teams to score 67.6% ( -5.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.87% ( -4.1) | 24.12% ( 4.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
56.23% ( -5.63) | 43.76% ( 5.63) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.54% ( -5.95) | 27.45% ( 5.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.05% ( -8.39) | 62.94% ( 8.39) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.18% ( -0.36) | 6.82% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.88% ( -0.97) | 25.12% ( 0.97) |
Score Analysis |
VfL Bochum | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.72) 1-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.49) 2-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.88% Total : 16.3% | 1-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.52) 3-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.71) 0-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.48) Other @ 0.54% Total : 16.73% | 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.71) 1-3 @ 7.81% ( 0.5) 0-2 @ 6.75% ( 1.54) 0-3 @ 6.04% ( 1.28) 1-4 @ 5.25% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.57) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 1.22) 0-4 @ 4.06% ( 0.8) 2-4 @ 3.39% ( -0.46) 1-5 @ 2.82% ( 0.07) 0-5 @ 2.18% ( 0.39) 2-5 @ 1.82% ( -0.29) 3-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.51) 1-6 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 0-6 @ 0.98% ( 0.16) Other @ 4.35% Total : 66.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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