Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Jan 22, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Hoffenheim2 - 3Dortmund
FT(HT: 1-1)
We said: Hoffenheim 2-2 Borussia Dortmund
This clash looks set to be an entertaining one on Saturday, with both sides successful in front of goal in recent weeks, whilst remaining leaky at the other end of the pitch too. Were this tie being played at Signal Iduna Park, we would be predicting a Dortmund win, but with BVB often slipping up on their travels, as well as Hoffenheim being an impressive outfit, we are going for a thrilling draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.75%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 31.31% | 22.68% | 46% |
| Both teams to score 64.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.9% | 58.1% |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.09% | 22.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.32% | 56.68% |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.86% | 16.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.41% | 45.58% |
| Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim 31.31%
Borussia Dortmund 46.01%
Draw 22.68%
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 7.32% 1-0 @ 5.45% 2-0 @ 4.02% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 3.28% 3-0 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.14% Total : 31.31% | 1-1 @ 9.94% 2-2 @ 6.68% 0-0 @ 3.7% 3-3 @ 1.99% Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-1 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 6.15% 1-3 @ 5.51% 2-3 @ 4.06% 0-3 @ 3.74% 1-4 @ 2.51% 2-4 @ 1.85% 0-4 @ 1.71% 1-5 @ 0.92% 3-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.84% Total : 46.01% |
How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Dortmund
Hoffenheim
21.3%Draw
10.7%Borussia Dortmund
68.0%75
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Dortmund
3-2
Hoffenheim
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Dortmund
2-2
Hoffenheim
Dabour (31'), Bebou (51')
Rudy (27'), Grillitsch (57'), Vogt (59'), Posch (60'), Samassekou (65'), Dabour (85'), Gacinovic (90+2')
Rudy (27'), Grillitsch (57'), Vogt (59'), Posch (60'), Samassekou (65'), Dabour (85'), Gacinovic (90+2')
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Dortmund
0-4
Hoffenheim
Dec 20, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Hoffenheim
2-1
Dortmund
Form Guide
