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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 37.28% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.18%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Freiburg |
38.76% ( -0.04) | 23.96% ( -0) | 37.28% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 61.62% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.32% ( 0.02) | 40.68% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.94% ( 0.02) | 63.06% ( -0.02) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.86% ( -0.01) | 21.14% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.01% ( -0.02) | 53.99% ( 0.01) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.13% ( 0.03) | 21.87% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.89% ( 0.04) | 55.11% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Freiburg |
2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 38.76% | 1-1 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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