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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
52.31% ( 0.13) | 22% ( -0.05) | 25.69% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 62.67% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.28% ( 0.17) | 36.72% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.12% ( 0.18) | 58.88% ( -0.18) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.77% ( 0.1) | 14.23% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.02% ( 0.19) | 41.98% ( -0.19) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.07% ( 0.03) | 26.93% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.74% ( 0.04) | 62.26% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.47% Total : 52.31% | 1-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 25.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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