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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
PreZero Arena
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Hoffenheim
1 - 1
FC Koln

Kramaric (90+4')
Bebou (32'), Stach (78'), Grillitsch (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Finkgrafe (79')
Schmitz (55'), Maina (76'), Chabot (76'), Finkgrafe (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Hoffenheim
Sunday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

FC Koln

All competitions
Last Game: FC Koln 2-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, February 3 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-1 FC Koln

 As already mentioned, Hoffenheim tend to score and concede in almost every match they take part in, and we do not expect any different on Sunday. The visitors should be confident after returning to winning ways last weekend, and they could move out of the bottom three with a victory here. However, we can envisage the two sides playing out a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawFC Koln
50.7% (0.61 0.61) 22.83% (0.041999999999998 0.04) 26.46% (-0.653 -0.65)
Both teams to score 60.44% (-0.762 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60% (-0.73999999999999 -0.74)40% (0.739 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.64% (-0.77 -0.77)62.36% (0.76799999999999 0.77)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.05% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)15.95% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.78% (-0.103 -0.1)45.22% (0.102 0.1)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9% (-0.858 -0.86)28.1% (0.856 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.23% (-1.099 -1.1)63.77% (1.098 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 50.7%
    FC Koln 26.46%
    Draw 22.83%
HoffenheimDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
1-0 @ 8.23% (0.263 0.26)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.228 0.23)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.62% (0.131 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 50.7%
1-1 @ 10.44% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.48% (0.152 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.83%
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 5.69% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 26.46%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs FC Koln

Hoffenheim
72.4%
Draw
20.7%
FC Koln
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
FC Koln
1-3
Hoffenheim
Selke (61')
Hubers (34'), Chabot (45+3'), Carstensen (63')
Carstensen (90+1')
Kramaric (1'), Grillitsch (28'), Beier (52')
Skov (23'), Kaderabek (68'), Brooks (70'), Grillitsch (75')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Hoffenheim
1-3
FC Koln
Dolberg (90+4')
Kainz (18' pen.), Selke (39'), Thielmann (90+2')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 12
FC Koln
1-1
Hoffenheim
Kainz (13')
Bruun Larsen (36')
> Preview
Mar 6, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 25
FC Koln
0-1
Hoffenheim

Ljubicic (61')
Posch (61')
Baumgartner (85'), Baumann (90+2'), Grillitsch (90+5'), Dabour (90+5')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Hoffenheim
5-0
FC Koln
Bebou (31', 49'), Baumgartner (51'), Geiger (74'), Posch (87')
Kaderabek (33')

Czichos (81')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317
> Bundesliga Full Table


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