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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Hoffenheim logo

FC Koln
1 - 1
Hoffenheim

Kainz (13')
Duda (51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bruun Larsen (36')
Kabak (7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slovacko 0-1 FC Koln
Friday, October 28 at 12pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-2 Bayern
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-3 Hoffenheim

We can envisage Hoffenheim punishing Koln's tiredness and the amount of players that they have unavailable with an away win on Sunday. The hosts feel like a team who could do with next month's World Cup starting even sooner than it does, with injury problems and fixture pile-up's mounting on Baumgart's shoulders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
FC KolnDrawHoffenheim
47.73% (-0.286 -0.29) 23.48% (0.177 0.18) 28.79% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 60.12% (-0.542 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (-0.749 -0.75)41.27% (0.754 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33% (-0.766 -0.77)63.67% (0.771 0.77)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.48% (-0.39699999999999 -0.4)17.52% (0.4 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.96% (-0.698 -0.7)48.03% (0.701 0.7)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.89% (-0.303 -0.3)27.11% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.5% (-0.399 -0.4)62.5% (0.402 0.4)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 47.73%
    Hoffenheim 28.79%
    Draw 23.47%
FC KolnDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.27% (0.174 0.17)
2-0 @ 7.21% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.18% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 47.73%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.161 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.47%
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.2% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.015 0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 28.79%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Hoffenheim

FC Koln
24.7%
Draw
17.3%
Hoffenheim
58.0%
81
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 4.30pm
FC Koln
0-1
Hoffenheim

Ljubicic (61')
Posch (61')
Baumgartner (85'), Baumann (90+2'), Grillitsch (90+5'), Dabour (90+5')
Oct 15, 2021 7.30pm
Hoffenheim
5-0
FC Koln
Bebou (31', 49'), Baumgartner (51'), Geiger (74'), Posch (87')
Kaderabek (33')

Czichos (81')
Jan 24, 2021 5pm
Sep 19, 2020 2.30pm
FC Koln
2-3
Hoffenheim
Andersson (22'), Drexler (86')
Bornauw (33'), Duda (69'), Hector (85')
Kramaric (4', 45+3', 90+2')
Bicakcic (45+5'), Bebou (90'), Baumann (90'), Kaderabek (90+5')
May 27, 2020 7.30pm
Hoffenheim
3-1
FC Koln
Baumgartner (11', 46'), Zuber (48')
Hubner (3'), Grillitsch (28'), Dabour (45+1'), Nordtveit (76'), Bebou (84')
Hubner (50')
Kainz (60')
Jakobs (65')
Bornauw (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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