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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Hoffenheim logo

FC Koln
1 - 1
Hoffenheim

Kainz (13')
Duda (51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bruun Larsen (36')
Kabak (7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slovacko 0-1 FC Koln
Friday, October 28 at 12pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-2 Bayern
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-3 Hoffenheim

We can envisage Hoffenheim punishing Koln's tiredness and the amount of players that they have unavailable with an away win on Sunday. The hosts feel like a team who could do with next month's World Cup starting even sooner than it does, with injury problems and fixture pile-up's mounting on Baumgart's shoulders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
FC KolnDrawHoffenheim
47.73% (-0.286 -0.29) 23.48% (0.177 0.18) 28.79% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 60.12% (-0.542 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (-0.749 -0.75)41.27% (0.754 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33% (-0.766 -0.77)63.67% (0.771 0.77)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.48% (-0.39699999999999 -0.4)17.52% (0.4 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.96% (-0.698 -0.7)48.03% (0.701 0.7)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.89% (-0.303 -0.3)27.11% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.5% (-0.399 -0.4)62.5% (0.402 0.4)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 47.73%
    Hoffenheim 28.79%
    Draw 23.47%
FC KolnDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.27% (0.174 0.17)
2-0 @ 7.21% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.18% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 47.73%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.161 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.47%
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.2% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.015 0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 28.79%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Hoffenheim

FC Koln
24.7%
Draw
17.3%
Hoffenheim
58.0%
81
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 4.30pm
FC Koln
0-1
Hoffenheim

Ljubicic (61')
Posch (61')
Baumgartner (85'), Baumann (90+2'), Grillitsch (90+5'), Dabour (90+5')
Oct 15, 2021 7.30pm
Hoffenheim
5-0
FC Koln
Bebou (31', 49'), Baumgartner (51'), Geiger (74'), Posch (87')
Kaderabek (33')

Czichos (81')
Jan 24, 2021 5pm
Sep 19, 2020 2.30pm
FC Koln
2-3
Hoffenheim
Andersson (22'), Drexler (86')
Bornauw (33'), Duda (69'), Hector (85')
Kramaric (4', 45+3', 90+2')
Bicakcic (45+5'), Bebou (90'), Baumann (90'), Kaderabek (90+5')
May 27, 2020 7.30pm
Hoffenheim
3-1
FC Koln
Baumgartner (11', 46'), Zuber (48')
Hubner (3'), Grillitsch (28'), Dabour (45+1'), Nordtveit (76'), Bebou (84')
Hubner (50')
Kainz (60')
Jakobs (65')
Bornauw (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246


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