Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 56.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.