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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Pauli | Draw | RB Leipzig |
47.22% ( 0.26) | 22.69% ( -0) | 30.09% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 63.88% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.3% ( -0.12) | 36.7% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.14% ( -0.14) | 58.86% ( 0.14) |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.03% ( 0.05) | 15.96% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.74% ( 0.09) | 45.25% ( -0.09) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.01% ( -0.22) | 23.98% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.77% ( -0.31) | 58.22% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
St Pauli | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 47.22% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.83% Total : 30.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 30 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 26 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 23 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 21 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Freiburg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 18 |
9 | Stuttgart | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 17 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 17 |
11 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 16 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Augsburg | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 12 |
15 | St Pauli | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 33 | -23 | 2 |
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