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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 30, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei

Union Berlin
1 - 0
St Pauli

Hollerbach (34')
Hollerbach (76'), Querfeld (90+1'), Woo-yeong (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Guilavogui (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, August 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 0-2 Heidenheim
Sunday, August 25 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-1 St Pauli

Union did well to come back from a goal down and salvage a point on the road last weekend, and the introduction of new signing Benes could be a big factor in deciding this game. Without adding much new firepower to the squad, and losing manager Hurzeler to the Premier League, St Pauli need to quickly prove they are equipped for this level after an opening day defeat at home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 21.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawSt Pauli
21.67% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 22.17%56.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 57.01% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.08% (-0.012 -0.01)41.92% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.67% (-0.012 -0.01)64.33% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.9% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)33.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.3% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)69.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)14.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)43.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 21.67%
    St Pauli 56.17%
    Draw 22.17%
Union BerlinDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 5.72%
1-0 @ 5.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 2.99%
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 21.67%
1-1 @ 10.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.17%
1-2 @ 9.89%
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 8.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 6.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 5.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.72%
2-4 @ 1.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.15%
0-5 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 56.17%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs St Pauli

Union Berlin
83.4%
Draw
11.9%
St Pauli
4.6%
151
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Union Berlin
2-1
St Pauli
Becker (45'), Voglsammer (75')
Becker (64'), Khedira (78')
Kyereh (21')
Feb 4, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 20
St Pauli
3-2
Union Berlin
Allagui (23'), Meier (62', 90' pen.)
Allagui (4'), Flum (33'), Knoll (84')
Promel (84'), Abdullahi (86')
Schmiedebach (12'), Friedrich (37'), Lenz (60')
Aug 26, 2018 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
4-1
St Pauli
Promel (44'), Gogia (45'), Andersson (57', 88')
Prince Redondo (76')
Veerman (71')
Flum (31'), Buchtmann (38'), Sahin (64')
Apr 14, 2018 12pm
St Pauli
0-1
Union Berlin

Buballa (71'), Sahin (90')
Hedlund (81')
Friedrich (5'), Kroos (45'), Hartel (87')
Friedrich (56')
Nov 4, 2017 12pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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