We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-2 RB Leipzig
Ten goals were scored across two meetings between Leverkusen and Leipzig last season and another entertaining, end-to-end contest could be on the cards on Saturday.
Alonso's men did the double over Die Roten Bullen last season and after resting a number of star players in midweek, we feel that they will find a way to come out on top once again on home soil.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.02%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 22.8% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.76%) and 1-0 (7.55%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.