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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 7, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
SV Darmstadt

Augsburg
1 - 2
SV Darmstadt 98

Demirovic (86')
Gumny (35'), Michel (66'), Demirovic (74'), Uduokhai (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Skarke (52'), Kempe (70' pen.)
Muller (38'), Pfeiffer (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and SV Darmstadt 98, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 Augsburg
Sunday, October 1 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 4-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 2-1 SV Darmstadt 98

These sides are both likely to be involved in relegation battles for the entirety of the campaign, making this meeting a crucial six-pointer, with Darmstadt coming into it at the right time after securing their first win of the season last weekend. However, Augsburg clearly possess far more experience at this level and they showed plenty of grit to hold onto victory against Mainz despite falling down to 10-men in their last home game, so we will back them to earn another crucial win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawSV Darmstadt 98
41.25% (-0.207 -0.21) 24.42% (-0.058 -0.06) 34.32% (0.259 0.26)
Both teams to score 59.45% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.7% (0.329 0.33)43.3% (-0.335 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.3% (0.32400000000001 0.32)65.69% (-0.32900000000001 -0.33)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (0.040999999999997 0.04)21.08% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.09% (0.07 0.07)53.9% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (0.303 0.3)24.66% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.81% (0.425 0.42)59.18% (-0.429 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 41.25%
    SV Darmstadt 98 34.32%
    Draw 24.42%
AugsburgDrawSV Darmstadt 98
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.09% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 41.25%
1-1 @ 11.33% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.2% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 7.93% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.28% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.32%

How you voted: Augsburg vs SV Darmstadt 98

Augsburg
76.0%
Draw
16.0%
SV Darmstadt 98
8.0%
25
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2017 2.30pm
Sep 24, 2016 2.30pm
Mar 12, 2016 2.30pm
SV Darmstadt 98
2-2
Augsburg
Vrancic (13'), Wagner (40')
Heller (91'), Holland (94')
Feulner (63'), Finnbogason (89' pen.)
Max (91')
Oct 17, 2015 2.30pm
Augsburg
0-2
SV Darmstadt 98

Baier (61'), Caiuby (67')
Wagner (7'), Niemeyer (29')
Heller (47'), Garics (66'), Caldirola (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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