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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
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Augsburg
2 - 2
RB Leipzig

Tietz (35'), Demirovic (60')
Gouweleeuw (55'), Jakic (64'), Vargas (70'), Dahmen (81'), Mbabu (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Openda (39'), Sesko (52')
Raum (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, February 4 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 2-3 RB Leipzig

 Leipzig have scored 13 goals in their last four meetings with Augsburg and snatched a draw from the jaws of defeat on their last trip to the WWK Arena, recovering from 3-0 down to draw 3-3. After conceding 13 goals in their last five away games in all competitions, a similar game could play out here, and last week's win may give Leipzig added confidence which could see them edge this encounter against an Augsburg side who need to get themselves out of a rut sooner rather than later. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 19.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.53%) and 0-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawRB Leipzig
19.15% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 20.01% (-0.02 -0.02) 60.83% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 60.54% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.6% (0.079999999999998 0.08)35.4% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.56% (0.088000000000001 0.09)57.44% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (0.042000000000002 0.04)31.74% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (0.047999999999998 0.05)68.17% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.69% (0.030000000000001 0.03)11.31% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.04% (0.066000000000003 0.07)35.96% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 19.15%
    RB Leipzig 60.84%
    Draw 20.01%
AugsburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 4.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.36% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 19.15%
1-1 @ 8.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 3.59% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.01%
1-2 @ 9.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 8.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.83% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.11% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 4.08% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.87% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 2.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.69% (0.006 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-5 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 60.84%

How you voted: Augsburg vs RB Leipzig

Augsburg
16.9%
Draw
15.3%
RB Leipzig
67.8%
59
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
RB Leipzig
3-0
Augsburg
Simons (6'), Openda (11'), Raum (27')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
RB Leipzig
3-2
Augsburg
Kampl (10'), Werner (32', 35')
Maier (5'), Vargas (82')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Augsburg
3-3
RB Leipzig
Berisha (34' pen.), Demirovic (51'), Vargas (64')
Silva (73'), Nkunku (89'), Novoa (90')
> Preview
May 8, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
RB Leipzig
4-0
Augsburg
Silva (40'), Nkunku (48', 57'), Forsberg (64' pen.)
Forsberg (36')

Gouweleeuw (72'), Gunther (77')
> Preview
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Augsburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
Caligiuri (86' pen.)
Dorsch (44'), Sarenren Bazee (87')
Silva (19')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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