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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Leipzig logo

Augsburg
2 - 2
RB Leipzig

Tietz (35'), Demirovic (60')
Gouweleeuw (55'), Jakic (64'), Vargas (70'), Dahmen (81'), Mbabu (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Openda (39'), Sesko (52')
Raum (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, February 4 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 2-3 RB Leipzig

Leipzig have scored 13 goals in their last four meetings with Augsburg and snatched a draw from the jaws of defeat on their last trip to the WWK Arena, recovering from 3-0 down to draw 3-3. After conceding 13 goals in their last five away games in all competitions, a similar game could play out here, and last week's win may give Leipzig added confidence which could see them edge this encounter against an Augsburg side who need to get themselves out of a rut sooner rather than later. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 19.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.53%) and 0-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawRB Leipzig
19.15% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 20.01% (-0.02 -0.02) 60.83% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 60.54% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.6% (0.079999999999998 0.08)35.4% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.56% (0.088000000000001 0.09)57.44% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (0.042000000000002 0.04)31.74% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (0.047999999999998 0.05)68.17% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.69% (0.030000000000001 0.03)11.31% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.04% (0.066000000000003 0.07)35.96% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 19.15%
    RB Leipzig 60.84%
    Draw 20.01%
AugsburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 4.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.36% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 19.15%
1-1 @ 8.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 3.59% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.01%
1-2 @ 9.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 8.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.83% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.11% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 4.08% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.87% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 2.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.69% (0.006 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-5 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 60.84%

How you voted: Augsburg vs RB Leipzig

Augsburg
16.9%
Draw
15.3%
RB Leipzig
67.8%
59
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
RB Leipzig
3-0
Augsburg
Simons (6'), Openda (11'), Raum (27')
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
RB Leipzig
3-2
Augsburg
Kampl (10'), Werner (32', 35')
Maier (5'), Vargas (82')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Augsburg
3-3
RB Leipzig
Berisha (34' pen.), Demirovic (51'), Vargas (64')
Silva (73'), Nkunku (89'), Novoa (90')
May 8, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
RB Leipzig
4-0
Augsburg
Silva (40'), Nkunku (48', 57'), Forsberg (64' pen.)
Forsberg (36')

Gouweleeuw (72'), Gunther (77')
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Augsburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
Caligiuri (86' pen.)
Dorsch (44'), Sarenren Bazee (87')
Silva (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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