MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 16:59:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga
Dortmund logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 7, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Union Berlin logo

Dortmund
4 - 2
Union Berlin

Fullkrug (7'), Schlotterbeck (49'), Brandt (54'), Ryerson (71')
Hummels (30')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Gosens (9'), Bonucci (31' pen.)
Gosens (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 0-0 AC Milan
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-3 Braga
Tuesday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Union Berlin

 What we have here are two sides with completely contrasting forms. Dortmund's home record has been incredible for over a year now, and their record against this opponent adds to our confidence that they will secure another win here. Unfortunately for the visitors, if that is to be the case, it will equate to their seventh consecutive loss in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 57.26%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 21.79% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (5.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawUnion Berlin
57.26% (0.314 0.31) 20.95% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 21.79% (-0.266 -0.27)
Both teams to score 61.54% (-0.22300000000001 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.95% (-0.116 -0.12)36.04% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.85% (-0.127 -0.13)58.14% (0.125 0.13)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.5% (0.052000000000007 0.05)12.5% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.51% (0.109 0.11)38.49% (-0.11 -0.11)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.33% (-0.297 -0.3)29.66% (0.296 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.29% (-0.361 -0.36)65.71% (0.35899999999999 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 57.26%
    Union Berlin 21.79%
    Draw 20.95%
Borussia DortmundDrawUnion Berlin
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.02% (0.079 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.71% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.75% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.56% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.51% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.89% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 57.26%
1-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.71% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.95%
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.51% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.74% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 21.79%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Union Berlin

Borussia Dortmund
83.0%
Draw
14.9%
Union Berlin
2.1%
47
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Dortmund
2-1
Union Berlin
Malen (28'), Moukoko (79')
Behrens (61')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 10
Union Berlin
2-0
Dortmund
Haberer (8', 21')
> Preview
Feb 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Union Berlin
0-3
Dortmund

Baumgartl (35'), Mohwald (76'), Knoche (90+2'), Schafer (90+5')
Reus (18', 25'), Guerreiro (71')
Brandt (39')
> Preview
Sep 19, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 5
Dortmund
4-2
Union Berlin
Guerreiro (10'), Braut Haaland (24', 83'), Friedrich (52' og.)
Hummels (50'), Witsel (57')
Kruse (57' pen.), Voglsammer (81')
Friedrich (15'), Giesselmann (50'), Ryerson (90+1')
> Preview
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
Dortmund
2-0
Union Berlin
Reus (27'), Guerreiro (88')
Bellingham (70'), Hummels (72')

Knoche (48')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610
> Bundesliga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!