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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 22, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

FC Koln
3 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Kainz (9' pen., 76' pen.), Waldschmidt (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Elvedi (63')
Nicolas (74'), Scally (90+4')
Kone (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-0 FC Koln
Sunday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

These two sides have registered just one league win between them so far this season, suggesting there could be a chronic lack of confidence on display at RheinEnergieStadion this weekend. With every point collected crucial for both sets of managers and players even at this early stage of proceedings, we can envisage a low scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
43.36% (0.182 0.18) 22.79% (0.253 0.25) 33.85% (-0.438 -0.44)
Both teams to score 65.39% (-1.128 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.52% (-1.412 -1.41)35.48% (1.409 1.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.47% (-1.58 -1.58)57.53% (1.577 1.58)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.05% (-0.5 -0.5)16.95% (0.496 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.96% (-0.88699999999999 -0.89)47.04% (0.88399999999999 0.88)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74% (-0.88199999999999 -0.88)21.26% (0.879 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.82% (-1.382 -1.38)54.18% (1.379 1.38)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 43.36%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 33.85%
    Draw 22.79%
FC KolnDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.104 0.1)
1-0 @ 6.4% (0.344 0.34)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.216 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.2% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.79% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.008 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.92% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 43.36%
1-1 @ 9.9% (0.277 0.28)
2-2 @ 6.8% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.6% (0.25 0.25)
3-3 @ 2.08% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.79%
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.58% (0.245 0.25)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.53% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 33.85%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Borussia M'bach

FC Koln
20.0%
Draw
30.0%
Borussia Monchengladbach
50.0%
60
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Borussia M'bach
5-2
FC Koln
Friedrich (27'), Bensebaini (45+2' pen., 76'), Stindl (47'), Thuram (90+1')
Kainz (31' pen.), Huseinbasic (83')
Apr 16, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Borussia M'bach
1-3
FC Koln
Embolo (85')
Kone (45'), Plea (65'), Elvedi (86')
Modeste (5'), Kainz (20'), Ljubicic (34')
Hector (69'), Hubers (72')
Nov 27, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
FC Koln
4-1
Borussia M'bach
Ljubicic (55'), Uth (77'), Duda (78'), Andersson (90+3')
Duda (60')
Hofmann (74')
Sommer (60'), Zakaria (64'), Thuram (90')
Feb 6, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 20
Borussia M'bach
1-2
FC Koln
Neuhaus (16')
Stindl (2'), Herrmann (27'), Jantschke (75'), Neuhaus (90+5')
Rexhbecaj (3', 55')
Ehizibue (80'), Rexhbecaj (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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