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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Stuttgart

Union Berlin
0 - 3
Stuttgart


Haberer (34'), Behrens (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guirassy (16'), Wamangituka (81'), Undav (88')
Rouault (34'), Hoeness (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-2 Stuttgart

The international break came at the best possible moment for Union Berlin, whose collective confidence understandably appeared to be on the floor after suffering seven straight defeats in all competitions. Stuttgart, on the other hand, have mostly been an irrepressible force, led by their talismanic striker Guirassy. Both teams' contrasting runs of form surely cannot continue for too much longer, particularly in the case of the hosts, who contain too much quality and spirit to keep losing. As such, we can envisage an entertaining score draw in the capital, which is a result that neither manager would likely be too disappointed with. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawStuttgart
38.26% (0.543 0.54) 25.6% (0.311 0.31) 36.13% (-0.857 -0.86)
Both teams to score 55.59% (-1.142 -1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.58% (-1.446 -1.45)48.42% (1.444 1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.44% (-1.334 -1.33)70.55% (1.333 1.33)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)24.84% (0.365 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.56% (-0.514 -0.51)59.44% (0.512 0.51)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-1.152 -1.15)26.02% (1.15 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-1.576 -1.58)61.06% (1.574 1.57)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 38.26%
    Stuttgart 36.13%
    Draw 25.6%
Union BerlinDrawStuttgart
1-0 @ 9% (0.435 0.43)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.27% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.081 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 38.26%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.47% (0.376 0.38)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.232 0.23)
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-2 @ 5.86% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 36.13%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Stuttgart

Union Berlin
25.4%
Draw
16.9%
Stuttgart
57.6%
59
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Union Berlin
3-0
Stuttgart
Becker (51'), Behrens (65'), Haraguchi (68' og.)
Oct 9, 2022 6.30pm
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Union Berlin
1-1
Stuttgart
Awoniyi (41' pen.)
Giesselmann (32'), Promel (90+1'), Schafer (90+4')
Kalajdzic (90')
Mavropanos (40'), Ito (79')
Oct 24, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 9
Stuttgart
1-1
Union Berlin
Faghir (90+2')
Nartey (55'), Karazor (56')
Karazor (57')
Awoniyi (31')
Khedira (62')
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Union Berlin
2-1
Stuttgart
Promel (20'), Musa (43')
Promel (9'), Trimmel (83')
Forster (49')
Coulibaly (30'), Karazor (51'), Mavropanos (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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