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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Stuttgart

Union Berlin
0 - 3
Stuttgart


Haberer (34'), Behrens (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guirassy (16'), Wamangituka (81'), Undav (88')
Rouault (34'), Hoeness (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-2 Stuttgart

The international break came at the best possible moment for Union Berlin, whose collective confidence understandably appeared to be on the floor after suffering seven straight defeats in all competitions. Stuttgart, on the other hand, have mostly been an irrepressible force, led by their talismanic striker Guirassy. Both teams' contrasting runs of form surely cannot continue for too much longer, particularly in the case of the hosts, who contain too much quality and spirit to keep losing. As such, we can envisage an entertaining score draw in the capital, which is a result that neither manager would likely be too disappointed with. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawStuttgart
38.26% (0.543 0.54) 25.6% (0.311 0.31) 36.13% (-0.857 -0.86)
Both teams to score 55.59% (-1.142 -1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.58% (-1.446 -1.45)48.42% (1.444 1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.44% (-1.334 -1.33)70.55% (1.333 1.33)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)24.84% (0.365 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.56% (-0.514 -0.51)59.44% (0.512 0.51)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-1.152 -1.15)26.02% (1.15 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-1.576 -1.58)61.06% (1.574 1.57)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 38.26%
    Stuttgart 36.13%
    Draw 25.6%
Union BerlinDrawStuttgart
1-0 @ 9% (0.435 0.43)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.27% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.081 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 38.26%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.47% (0.376 0.38)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.232 0.23)
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-2 @ 5.86% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 36.13%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Stuttgart

Union Berlin
25.4%
Draw
16.9%
Stuttgart
57.6%
59
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Union Berlin
3-0
Stuttgart
Becker (51'), Behrens (65'), Haraguchi (68' og.)
Oct 9, 2022 6.30pm
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Union Berlin
1-1
Stuttgart
Awoniyi (41' pen.)
Giesselmann (32'), Promel (90+1'), Schafer (90+4')
Kalajdzic (90')
Mavropanos (40'), Ito (79')
Oct 24, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 9
Stuttgart
1-1
Union Berlin
Faghir (90+2')
Nartey (55'), Karazor (56')
Karazor (57')
Awoniyi (31')
Khedira (62')
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Union Berlin
2-1
Stuttgart
Promel (20'), Musa (43')
Promel (9'), Trimmel (83')
Forster (49')
Coulibaly (30'), Karazor (51'), Mavropanos (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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