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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Union Berlin logo

Werder Bremen
2 - 0
Union Berlin

Knoche (38' og.), Ducksch (75')
Stage (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gosens (56'), Leite (80'), Hollerbach (85'), Laidouni (90+6')
Khedira (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 Werder Bremen
Friday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-1 Napoli
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Werder Bremen 1-2 Union Berlin

Both teams will head into this contest with minimal confidence given their current losing streaks, but something has to give here for at least one of them. Ultimately, Union Berlin contain too much quality to keep losing games, having made incredible progress under Fischer's tutelage in recent years. Werder Bremen, on the other hand, would have expected to be in a relegation fight this season, and we think that they will narrowly fall to a fourth successive defeat at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawUnion Berlin
33.44% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07) 24.35% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 42.2% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Both teams to score 59.45% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.8% (0.015999999999998 0.02)43.2% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.4% (0.016000000000005 0.02)65.6% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)25.12% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.17% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)59.83% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (0.043000000000006 0.04)20.61% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85% (0.067999999999998 0.07)53.15% (-0.067 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 33.44%
    Union Berlin 42.2%
    Draw 24.35%
Werder BremenDrawUnion Berlin
2-1 @ 7.8% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.44%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.16%
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 8.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.18% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 6.46% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.7% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.4% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.86% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 42.2%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin

Werder Bremen
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Union Berlin
42.9%
35
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Union Berlin
1-0
Werder Bremen
Khedira (81')
Laidouni (45+4')

Philipp (50'), Pavlenka (68'), Bittencourt (71')
Jan 25, 2023 7.30pm
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 2, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Werder Bremen
0-2
Union Berlin

Gross (33'), Selke (53')
Becker (12'), Awoniyi (28')
Andrich (25'), Promel (44'), Hubner (50'), Becker (68')
Feb 8, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Werder Bremen
0-2
Union Berlin

Selke (16'), Vogt (30'), Toprak (30'), Friedl (80')
Bulter (52', 72')
Trimmel (67'), Promel (80'), Andersson (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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