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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Union Berlin |
33.44% ( -0.07) | 24.35% ( -0.01) | 42.2% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 59.45% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.8% ( 0.02) | 43.2% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.4% ( 0.02) | 65.6% ( -0.01) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.88% ( -0.03) | 25.12% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.17% ( -0.05) | 59.83% ( 0.05) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.39% ( 0.04) | 20.61% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.85% ( 0.07) | 53.15% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Union Berlin |
2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.44% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.16% 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 42.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 53 | 13 | 40 | 42 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 38 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
5 | Stuttgart | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 19 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 17 |
14 | St Pauli | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
15 | Heidenheim | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 14 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 9 |
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