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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 54.2%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 23.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Mainz 05 |
54.2% ( -0.33) | 22.24% ( 0.14) | 23.56% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 59.31% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.94% ( -0.44) | 40.06% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.57% ( -0.46) | 62.43% ( 0.46) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.22% ( -0.26) | 14.78% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.97% ( -0.5) | 43.03% ( 0.5) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.6% ( -0.07) | 30.4% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.4% ( -0.09) | 66.6% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.09% Total : 54.2% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.94% Total : 23.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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