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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Oct 15, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Mainz logo

Werder Bremen
0 - 2
Mainz


Fullkrug (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ingvartsen (36'), Jae-sung (66')
Hack (45'), Burkardt (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Werder Bremen
Friday, October 7 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-1 Mainz 05

Bremen seem like a much more settled unit than Mainz, who may be struggling with the unavailability of a few key players. In the shape of their front two, the hosts have more firepower than the majority of teams in the division on current form, and we can see them ending Saturday in second position by gaining a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 54.2%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 23.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawMainz 05
54.2% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33) 22.24% (0.14 0.14) 23.56% (0.199 0.2)
Both teams to score 59.31% (-0.245 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.94% (-0.438 -0.44)40.06% (0.442 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.57% (-0.456 -0.46)62.43% (0.45999999999999 0.46)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.22% (-0.259 -0.26)14.78% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97% (-0.501 -0.5)43.03% (0.505 0.5)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.6% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)30.4% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.4% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)66.6% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 54.2%
    Mainz 05 23.56%
    Draw 22.24%
Werder BremenDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.096 0.1)
2-0 @ 8.21% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.24% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.71% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.98% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.5% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 54.2%
1-1 @ 10.22% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.091 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 6.09% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.35% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.18% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 23.56%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05

Werder Bremen
82.7%
Draw
9.6%
Mainz 05
7.7%
52
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Dec 19, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 17, 2019 5.30pm
Werder Bremen
0-5
Mainz 05

Eggestein (77'), Bittencourt (79')
Quaison (10', 19', 38'), Pavlenka (15' og.), Mateta (81')
Fernandes (18'), Baku (79')
Mar 30, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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