MX23RW : Saturday, March 29 01:20:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bayern logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Bayern
6 - 1
Werder Bremen

Musiala (6'), Gnabry (22', 28', 82'), Goretzka (26'), Tel (84')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Jung (10')

The Match

Match Report

Serge Gnabry scores a hat-trick as Bayern Munich move four points clear at the top of the Bundesliga courtesy of a 6-1 drubbing of Werder Bremen.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 80.79%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 7.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.26%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawWerder Bremen
80.79% (-1.609 -1.61) 11.89% (0.987 0.99) 7.32% (0.6291 0.63)
Both teams to score 54.8% (-1.307 -1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.74% (-2.884 -2.88)25.26% (2.892 2.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.75% (-3.849 -3.85)45.25% (3.857 3.86)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.25% (-0.759 -0.76)4.75% (0.7671 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.78% (-2.393 -2.39)19.22% (2.401 2.4)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.53% (-0.902 -0.9)42.47% (0.909 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.16% (-0.785 -0.79)78.84% (0.794 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 80.79%
    Werder Bremen 7.32%
    Draw 11.89%
Bayern MunichDrawWerder Bremen
3-0 @ 9.51% (0.274 0.27)
2-0 @ 9.36% (0.765 0.76)
3-1 @ 8.15% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.47 0.47)
4-0 @ 7.25% (-0.199 -0.2)
4-1 @ 6.21% (-0.33 -0.33)
1-0 @ 6.15% (0.81 0.81)
5-0 @ 4.42% (-0.382 -0.38)
5-1 @ 3.78% (-0.431 -0.43)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.66% (-0.213 -0.21)
6-0 @ 2.24% (-0.335 -0.34)
6-1 @ 1.92% (-0.342 -0.34)
5-2 @ 1.62% (-0.23 -0.23)
7-0 @ 0.98% (-0.211 -0.21)
Other @ 5.05%
Total : 80.79%
1-1 @ 5.26% (0.579 0.58)
2-2 @ 3.43% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 2.02% (0.362 0.36)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 11.89%
1-2 @ 2.25% (0.197 0.2)
0-1 @ 1.73% (0.274 0.27)
2-3 @ 0.98% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 7.32%

How you voted: Bayern vs Werder Bremen

Bayern Munich
Draw
Werder Bremen
Bayern Munich
88.4%
Draw
5.8%
Werder Bremen
5.8%
172
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Nov 21, 2020 2.30pm
Jun 16, 2020 7.30pm
Apr 24, 2019 7.45pm
Werder Bremen
2-3
Bayern
Osako (74'), Rashica (75')
Klaassen (25'), Kruse (84')
Lewandowski (36', 80'), Muller (63')
Hummels (26'), Rodriguez (84'), Lewandowski (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26195275245162
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen27178262342859
3Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26136754401445
5RB Leipzig2611964133842
6Freiburg2612683638-242
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26124104340340
8Wolfsburg2610884940938
9Augsburg2610882935-638
10Stuttgart2610794743437
11Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
12Werder Bremen2696114053-1333
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2668123248-1626
15St Pauli2674152030-1025
16Heidenheim2654173152-2119
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2746172756-2918
18Holstein Kiel2645173864-2617


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!