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Bundesliga
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 30, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
 
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Wolfsburg
3 - 0
Mainz

Wind (5', 28'), Bornauw (13')
Bornauw (86')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Bell (45+2'), Kohr (54'), Caricol (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-5 Wolfsburg
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Bayern
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-2 Mainz 05

 Mainz have built serious momentum for themselves with an unbeaten run of 10 matches, and they should be full of confidence after dispatching Bayern last weekend. Wolfsburg have failed to win any of their last six home games and, although four of those have ended in draws, we can envisage a narrow victory for the away side on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawMainz 05
44.84% (0.211 0.21) 23.92% (0.294 0.29) 31.24% (-0.507 -0.51)
Both teams to score 60.06% (-1.317 -1.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.99% (-1.621 -1.62)42% (1.621 1.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.59% (-1.65 -1.65)64.41% (1.649 1.65)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.03% (-0.565 -0.56)18.96% (0.563 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.5% (-0.94600000000001 -0.95)50.49% (0.945 0.95)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.11% (-1.102 -1.1)25.89% (1.103 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.13% (-1.512 -1.51)60.87% (1.511 1.51)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 44.84%
    Mainz 05 31.24%
    Draw 23.92%
WolfsburgDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.055 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.16% (0.442 0.44)
2-0 @ 6.79% (0.251 0.25)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.76% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 44.84%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-0 @ 4.91% (0.349 0.35)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.63% (0.272 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.48% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 31.24%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Mainz

Wolfsburg
36.5%
Draw
25.7%
Mainz 05
37.8%
74
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 13
Mainz
0-3
Wolfsburg
Wimmer (33'), Arnold (70'), Baku (84')
Baku (53')
Apr 22, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 31
Wolfsburg
5-0
Mainz
Wind (8', 42'), Kruse (24' pen., 35', 45+2')

Kohr (81'), Hack (82')
Tauer (23')
Dec 4, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 14
Mainz
3-0
Wolfsburg
Burkardt (2'), Stach (4'), Lacroix (90' og.)
Barreiro (78')

Mbabu (82')
> Preview
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 34
Wolfsburg
2-3
Mainz
Philipp (47'), Victor (66')
Arnold (51'), Schlager (56'), Philipp (75')
Boetius (44'), Quaison (54'), Bell (77')
Barreiro (29'), Bell (40'), Boetius (61')
Jan 19, 2021 7.30pm
gameweek 17
Mainz
0-2
Wolfsburg

Boetius (57')
Bialek (65'), Weghorst (79')
Philipp (53'), Guilavogui (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
RFC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617
> Bundesliga Full Table


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