MX23RW : Saturday, January 11 23:20:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
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Heidenheim
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VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Apr 8, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Mainz
2 - 2
Werder Bremen

Ajorque (85'), Weiper (90+3')
Onisiwo (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stage (87'), Fullkrug (90+5')
Gross (28'), Stage (42'), Ducksch (59'), Gruev (81'), Stark (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-3 Mainz
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Hoffenheim
Sunday, April 2 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 3-1 Werder Bremen

Mainz have been blowing sides away in the league of late, scoring 10 goals in their games with Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Monchengladbach. Their next opponents are very much out-of-form, meaning a routine home win is potentially on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 21.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawWerder Bremen
56.38% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 21.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 21.76% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.61% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)40.39% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.23%62.76% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.81% (0.0010000000000048 0)14.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.1% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)41.9% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)32.15% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)68.63% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 56.38%
    Werder Bremen 21.76%
    Draw 21.85%
Mainz 05DrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.87%
1-0 @ 8.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.7% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 6.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.65%
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.78%
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 56.38%
1-1 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.56%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.85%
1-2 @ 5.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 21.76%

How you voted: Mainz vs Werder Bremen

Mainz 05
86.8%
Draw
7.9%
Werder Bremen
5.3%
38
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Dec 19, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 17, 2019 5.30pm
Werder Bremen
0-5
Mainz

Eggestein (77'), Bittencourt (79')
Quaison (10', 19', 38'), Pavlenka (15' og.), Mateta (81')
Fernandes (18'), Baku (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
9.30pm
Chargers
@
Texans
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1683436231327
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Freiburg168352426-227
6Mainz 05Mainz1674430201025
7Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
8Werder Bremen157442625125
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg166363328521
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164561421-717
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli164291220-814
15Hoffenheim163572029-914
16Heidenheim1631112033-1310
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613111337-246


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