Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 22, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Mainz3 - 1Bayern
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: FC Koln 1-1 Mainz
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 Man City
Wednesday, April 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, April 19 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Mainz 05 1-2 Bayern Munich
Mainz have been thrashed in both of the previous two meetings with Bayern this season, but a tighter affair could be on the cards on Saturday considering the resurgent form of the hosts and recent setbacks suffered by the visitors. Nevertheless, Bayern will be regarded as favourites to come out on top and they should have enough quality in the final third to outscore their opponents at the Mewa Arena. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 58.48%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.74%) and 0-1 (7.13%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
21.22% ( 0) | 20.3% ( 0) | 58.48% |
Both teams to score 63.08% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.33% ( -0) | 33.67% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.51% ( -0) | 55.49% ( 0.01) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.21% ( -0) | 28.8% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.36% ( -0) | 64.65% ( 0.01) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.6% | 11.41% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.83% ( -0) | 36.17% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 21.22%
Bayern Munich 58.48%
Draw 20.3%
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 5.53% 1-0 @ 4.09% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.49% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.22% Total : 21.22% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.29% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.3% | 1-2 @ 9.64% 0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0)0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.97% 0-3 @ 5.6% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.34% 1-4 @ 3.79% 0-4 @ 3.04% 2-4 @ 2.36% 1-5 @ 1.64% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.32% 2-5 @ 1.02% 3-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.91% Total : 58.48% |
How you voted: Mainz vs Bayern
Mainz 05
19.7%Draw
6.6%Bayern Munich
73.8%61
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 7.45pm
Round of 16
Mainz
0-4
Bayern
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 12
Bayern
6-2
Mainz
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 32
Mainz
3-1
Bayern
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 31
Mainz
2-1
Bayern
