Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Alashkert FC had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Alashkert FC win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sheriff Tiraspol in this match.