Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 46.54%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Teuta Durres had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.76%), while for a Teuta Durres win it was 0-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sheriff Tiraspol in this match.