MX23RW : Saturday, February 1 20:48:11| >> :120:15347:15347:
Aston Villa logo
Champions League | League Stage
Oct 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Bayern logo

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Bayern

Duran (79')
Maatsen (90+1'), Carlos (90+4'), Duran (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Upamecano (21'), Gnabry (66')

The Match

Match Report

Jhon Duran scores his fifth goal of the season from the bench to help Aston Villa claim a memorable 1-0 Champions League win over Bayern Munich at Villa Park.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Aston Villa and Bayern Munich.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Aston Villa and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Aston Villa could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Bayern Munich.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, September 29 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 57.65%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.61% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawBayern Munich
22.61% (1.966 1.97) 19.73% (0.81 0.81) 57.65% (-2.775 -2.78)
Both teams to score 67.43% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.03% (-1.336 -1.34)28.97% (1.338 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.06% (-1.653 -1.65)49.93% (1.655 1.66)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (0.774 0.77)24.94% (-0.772 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42% (1.059 1.06)59.57% (-1.058 -1.06)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.83% (-1.056 -1.06)10.16% (1.058 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.6% (-2.475 -2.47)33.4% (2.476 2.48)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 22.61%
    Bayern Munich 57.65%
    Draw 19.73%
Aston VillaDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.59% (0.414 0.41)
1-0 @ 3.52% (0.341 0.34)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.15 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.59% (0.244 0.24)
2-0 @ 2.44% (0.285 0.29)
3-0 @ 1.13% (0.153 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 22.61%
1-1 @ 8.05% (0.428 0.43)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.188 0.19)
0-0 @ 2.53% (0.193 0.19)
3-3 @ 2.25% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 19.73%
1-2 @ 9.2% (0.071 0.07)
1-3 @ 7.01% (-0.281 -0.28)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.186 0.19)
0-3 @ 5.05% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-3 @ 4.87% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
1-4 @ 4.01% (-0.361 -0.36)
0-4 @ 2.89% (-0.331 -0.33)
2-4 @ 2.78% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-5 @ 1.83% (-0.261 -0.26)
0-5 @ 1.32% (-0.222 -0.22)
3-4 @ 1.29% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-5 @ 1.27% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 57.65%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Bayern

Aston Villa
17.6%
Draw
11.9%
Bayern Munich
70.5%
545
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Everton236892328-526
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


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