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Premier League | Gameweek 4
Sep 14, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Villa Park
Everton logo

Aston Villa
3 - 2
Everton

Watkins (36', 58'), Duran (76')
Martinez (47'), Emery (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
McNeil (16'), Calvert-Lewin (27')
Ndiaye (15'), Iroegbunam (19'), Young (79'), O'Brien (88')

The Match

Match Report

Ollie Watkins nets a brace and Jhon Duran scores a stunning long-range goal as Aston Villa come back from two goals down to beat Everton 3-2 at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 2-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Everton had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawEverton
44.32% (-0.155 -0.16) 23.52% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02) 32.16% (0.173 0.17)
Both teams to score 61.96% (0.144 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.31% (0.156 0.16)39.69% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.96% (0.162 0.16)62.04% (-0.161 -0.16)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)18.25% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)49.29% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.8% (0.175 0.17)24.2% (-0.175 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.46% (0.247 0.25)58.54% (-0.247 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 44.32%
    Everton 32.16%
    Draw 23.51%
Aston VillaDrawEverton
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.62% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 44.32%
1-1 @ 10.65% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.51%
1-2 @ 7.56% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.04% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32.16%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Everton

Aston Villa
83.5%
Draw
10.7%
Everton
5.8%
242
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 21
Everton
0-0
Aston Villa
Tarkowski (73')
Watkins (31'), Carlos (48'), Lenglet (73'), Tielemans (75')
Sep 27, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round
Aston Villa
1-2
Everton
Kamara (83')
Watkins (46'), Digne (74'), Konsa (79'), Luiz (90+4')
Garner (15'), Calvert-Lewin (50')
Patterson (48'), Tarkowski (66'), McNeil (90+4')
Aug 20, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 2
Aston Villa
4-0
Everton
McGinn (18'), Luiz (24' pen.), Bailey (51'), Duran (75')
Luiz (14'), Digne (33'), Archer (89')

Pickford (24'), Keane (45+4'), Gueye (45+9'), Patterson (86')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Everton
0-2
Aston Villa
Watkins (63' pen.), Buendia (81')
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 2
Aston Villa
2-1
Everton
Ings (31'), Buendia (85')
Coutinho (29'), Digne (49'), Ings (75'), Young (90+8')
Digne (87' og.)
Davies (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
6Chelsea21107441261537
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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