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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)
Bayern logo

Werder Bremen
0 - 5
Bayern

FT(HT: 0-2)
Olise (23', 60'), Musiala (32'), Kane (57'), Gnabry (65')
Laimer (38'), Pavlovic (77'), Upamecano (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 1-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 9-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Werder Bremen 0-3 Bayern Munich

Though Werder Bremen have proven capable defensively this season, it is difficult to see them keeping a clean sheet given the rampant form of the visitors in front of goal. Fresh from their win in the Champions League, Bayern will be full of confidence and should be strong favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 15.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.16%) and 1-3 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawBayern Munich
15.49% (0.173 0.17) 17.4% (0.115 0.11) 67.11% (-0.28 -0.28)
Both teams to score 62.58% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.65% (-0.184 -0.18)29.35% (0.191 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.59% (-0.227 -0.23)50.4% (0.233 0.23)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11% (0.081000000000003 0.08)31.88% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67% (0.09 0.09)68.33% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.87% (-0.101 -0.1)8.13% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.47% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)28.53% (0.273 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 15.49%
    Bayern Munich 67.11%
    Draw 17.4%
Werder BremenDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.25% (0.042 0.04)
1-0 @ 2.96% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.69% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.62% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 15.49%
1-1 @ 7.44% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.59% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 17.4%
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 7.81% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.83% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 4.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 4.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-4 @ 4.29% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-4 @ 2.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.46% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-5 @ 2.15% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
1-6 @ 1.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 67.11%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Bayern

Werder Bremen
12.3%
Draw
6.1%
Bayern Munich
81.6%
114
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Bayern
0-1
Werder Bremen

Kimmich (17'), de Ligt (74')
Weiser (59')
Schmid (70')
Aug 18, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Werder Bremen
0-4
Bayern

Ducksch (20'), Lynen (56')
Sane (4', 90'), Kane (74'), Tel (90+4')
Min-jae (55')
May 6, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Werder Bremen
1-2
Bayern
Schmidt (87')
Gnabry (62'), Sane (72')
Nov 8, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Bayern
6-1
Werder Bremen
Musiala (6'), Gnabry (22', 28', 82'), Goretzka (26'), Tel (84')
Jung (10')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
Werder Bremen
1-3
Bayern
Fullkrug (86')
Sargent (70')
Goretzka (22'), Gnabry (35'), Lewandowski (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern20163162194351
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4RB Leipzig209653429533
5Stuttgart209563730732
6Mainz 05Mainz209473324931
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach209383230230
8Werder Bremen208663436-230
9Freiburg209382736-930
10Borussia DortmundDortmund208573634229
11Wolfsburg198474234828
12Augsburg207582435-1126
13St Pauli2063111822-421
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin205691627-1121
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim2042142542-1714
17Holstein Kiel2033143152-2112
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum2024141744-2710


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